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View Full Version : The Clipboard - Wallace in Portland



spectre
11-19-2011, 07:23 PM
Basketball Perspectus (http://www.basketballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=1920)


When the Charlotte Bobcats (http://www.basketballprospectus.com/team.php?id=CHA) traded Gerald Wallace (http://www.basketballprospectus.com/card.php?id=3496) last February, he was in the middle of a down season, scoring just 15.6 points per game with a PER of 15.0, while posting a True Shooting Percentage (TS% (http://www.basketballprospectus.com/glossary.php?search=TS%25)) of 53 percent in 48 games. Upon his arrival in Portland, Wallace was immediately able to return to his past level of success. Despite seeing his minutes drop slightly, Wallace was able to not only match his scoring with the Bobcats, but exceed it by 0.2 points per game. Additionally, Wallace's PER rose dramatically to 18.9 while his .590 True Shooting was also higher with the Blazers.

The difference can be explained by the Portland coaching staff looking at what Wallace didn't do well in Charlotte and taking it out of his offensive repertoire. Specifically, they stopped letting him work away from the basketball and instead put the ball in his hands. With the Bobcats, Wallace came off of screens 13.3 percent of the time, making them his third most common source of offense. The problem was that Wallace faired poorly when catching the ball off a screen, shooting 35.7 percent and scoring 0.731 points per possession, putting him in the bottom 25 percent among all NBA players:

Wallace's biggest issue when coming off of screens is that he doesn't get his feet set before shooting jumpers. This often leads to a shot with Wallace fading away from the basket. When that happens, the chances of Wallace's shot going in drop dramatically. Despite the obvious hole in his game, the Bobcats continued to go to Wallace off of screens in sets where he was the clear first option.

The Blazers cut curls out of Wallace's game completely. In 23 games in Portland, Wallace came off of screens 3.9 percent of the time. Coach Nate McMillan was able to replace those possessions with isolation possessions, where Wallace was much more effective. Wallace was put in isolation situations 13.3 percent of the time, a jump from his time in Charlotte, where he had already been effective in isos. Wallace shot 54.5 percent of the time while scoring 1.062 PPP, putting him in the top 6 percent among NBA players:
Vids at the link.

What does this say about our current coaching staff? I don't know where these numbers are from Crash's previous seasons in regards to % coming off screens, etc...but we can look at his advanced stats via Basketball Reference (http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/w/wallage01.html) and see that those 48 games with us last season was certainly an outlier.

TheBeagle
11-19-2011, 07:57 PM
Hmmm. I think the problem was when Gerald's shot was off, it was off for good. There was no "finding" his stroke. Conversely, when he was on, he consistently made the curl jumper...I'd stop just short of saying he was money, in fact. But back to the problem, and the coaching, they would continue to run him off screens on his off nights instead of the isos. I think having Jack be the primary playmaker without Raymond killed GW's isos. Still, I'd like to see how much of an uptick the 13.3 is over what he was getting here before the trade. I remember him getting a decent amount of them...but that could be years past since last year was nothing but a dark drug-withdrawlesque haze to me.

SWedd523
11-19-2011, 08:50 PM
ISOs work better when you have a guy like LMa demanding attention. Don't forget how useful a low post presence like that can be for pretty much all other facets of the offense.

BlockParty
11-19-2011, 09:44 PM
CLT had an equal number of games under Larry last season as Paul (when we traded GW), but Paul didn't change much (at first) except to tell the guys to shoot if you are open and have fun. Larry was a stickler for 'playing the right way' and probably had a 5 pass rule at different times during his tenure (don't shoot until we've made at least 5 passes). That is only effective if people are running of pickups and isolation is limited.

Another thing that changed things in Portland for GW is the defensive rebounding expectation, with Aldridge and Camby on the floor, GW could get out onto the wings early in fast breaks. Additionally, with Aldridge on the post, the offense ran through him, not through trying to get GW or Jack open.

On a good note, GW is still living in Charlotte. He's been working out with Carroll, Steph Curry, Antwan Jameson, Derrick Brown, Hendo and a few other NBA players.

Twan's Kin
11-19-2011, 10:02 PM
On a good note, GW is still living in Charlotte. He's been working out with Carroll, Steph Curry, Antwan Jameson, Derrick Brown, Hendo and a few other NBA players.

I wonder if Anthony Morrow is involved in those workouts.

spectre
11-20-2011, 06:09 AM
I thought about Portland's guys vs. ours (which isn't a comparison at all), but that doesn't explain the dropoff for those 48 games only. Look at the last season and those prior up til his 1st year with us; all much better. There was a reason he was getting all those accolades the year before.

I'd also bet I could dig around and find a thread or two talking about this dropoff and how some thought he was headed down hill. I seem to remember using the rationale that he was playing hurt, or at least hadn't healed fully. I also remember thinking that losing Felton hurt Crash more than the rest and that was playing a part too. Felton was always a threat to drive...so his defender couldn't cheat towards Crash on the isos so much.

I'd like to know if his isos #s dropped at the beginning of the season so we "adjusted" trying to keep him involved offensively.

Toocool
11-20-2011, 09:03 AM
Take into mind that Crash was under LB for most of that time. That sucks for anyone, especially with LB's attitude.

spectre
11-20-2011, 09:58 AM
Take into mind that Crash was under LB for most of that time. That sucks for anyone, especially with LB's attitude.

True, and I won't discount that LB's attitude (he wanted to be let go) didn't affect him going into those 1st games. Remember tho the season before Crash made the all star team/all defense under LB.

Toocool
11-20-2011, 09:59 AM
True, and I won't discount that LB's attitude (he wanted to be let go) didn't affect him going into those 1st games. Remember tho the season before Crash made the all star team/all defense under LB.

Most certainly, I won't discredit LB for the development he helped with Crash. However it was his attitude last season that sucked, if we had the LB 2 years ago when we made our playoff run, then I think Crash's numbers would of been better.

Chef
11-20-2011, 10:33 AM
portland's team was so much better than the bobcats team last year from the players to the coaches that it isn't really worth looking too far into the stats. last year was an absolute disaster for the bobcats. it also can't be discounted how much jax and crash didn't jive well on the court. their games are far to contrasting and without felton to mediate touches it was a catastrophe. with that said, it does speak to the difference that astute coaching shows as far as asking your people to do things that they can actually do.

many of us have said it in many different ways many times, wallace has always been a second or third guy and in portland he is.

BlockParty
11-21-2011, 06:27 PM
I wonder if Anthony Morrow is involved in those workouts.

He is
!!