bismack biyombo.. nice read

[SWedd523]

i think he will average about 7.5 PPG next season which is a significant improvment from last season

After being named a starter, Bismack averaged 6.4/7.3/2.1

7.5 points would be a disappointment IMO

[Plowright]

if he starts or not it doesnt matter, It is all relative to the minutes played and if they increase, and if so by how much. If he averages 32 mins a game, sure 7.5 ppg is a dissapointment like Swedd said. But if TT comes back from Lala land and actually plays, Biz may start but only average 25 mpg which is only a few more than last year. Then 7.5ppg isnt soo bad. However, if we are deeper at PF and C then I would accept his blocks to go up as he doesnt have to worry about foul trouble quite so much

[SJackson1]

Biyombo should start for us with Haywood as backup at center

[QC Thundercats]

I hear what everyone is saying, and I agree that any normal player in Biz's situation, we could expect maybe a modest uptick. But I have a gut feeling that he's going to be in double double range for his average, with around 3 blocks a game.

Its hard to predict his season because he is still in his primary learning/development phase of basketball. Most players mostly get there sometime during high school or college, but Biz hasn't really been taught the details of the game until now. And because he's such a quick learner and hard worker, his gains will be much more noticeable and at a much higher rate than similarly aged and skilled players. His trajectory should be much steeper than from anyone else we've seen.

He has every opportunity to start and play a ton of minutes this year, with nobody behind him to bury him on the bench. Playing 8-10 minutes a quarter, it shouldn't be that hard to get to 10 points, even on accident. A couple offensive rebound putbacks, a transition bucket here or there, a nice feed on a pick and roll or a drive and dish, and a couple free throws are not unreasonable, and that puts him at 10 points a game already. And thats without giving him the ball in the post for any plays. He'll probably start slow, but I see him getting to the 10-12 ppg range pretty handily.

I think his blocked shots potential is inversely related.

Could he go all Iblocka and hit the 3-4 block range? Probably. But that would take him out of position to box out and/or compete for rebounds. Ibaka seems to have normalized in that 7-8 rebound range and I feel like that has a lot to do with him constantly trying to contest shots.

As for rebounding/blocking shots, I don't think he'll fall into the Ibaka territory. Ibaka is much rangier on defense, and seeks out shots to block from all over. Biz seems to stay at home more near the basket, and allows players to come to him to get his blocks. Therefore, he isn't going to be out of position to rebound as much as Ibaka is.

I think on the defensive side of the ball, even though these players aren't all exactly comparable, he'll be more in the Ben Wallace, Mutombo, Olajuwon kind of mold. These players were more rim protecters/goalies, and wouldn't be drawn out of the paint and out of position too often. They could get their 3-4 blocks per game, but still grab a dozen or more rebounds a game.

Right now, Biz has to think too much because he won't know exactly what he's doing for a couple seasons. Once he learns positioning, leverage, and angles, and once the game slows down for him, his instincts will take over, and I think he too can become a beast on the boards like the ones I mentioned above.

[SJackson1]

I think he could average a double double next season with blocking over 2.5 shots if he starts and gets the minutes becasue he has been working on his offense this post season. He will keep improving year on year and i'm excited to see how much he develops next season.

[SWedd523]

QC are you talking prime numbers, or next year numbers?

[QC Thundercats]

I think he can get to double double range next season, and around 3 or slightly under BPG. I know to expect inconsistency, especially early on, since he's still learning the basics, so that might skew his numbers at first. But I do think he'll start figuring it out sooner than later, and will round out to the higher numbers.

Prime numbers are impossible to predict right now, because nobody knows how much he can grow at this point. Could he average 15 points? That depends on if he develops a 15-18 foot jumper, and can finish around the basket with both hands. But thats a lot to ask from somebody who was thrown to the wolves. Defensively, I think he can be at the elite, all defensive team caliber for his career, which would be 10-12 RPG and 3+ BPG. I think this season will be a good gauge for his trajectory though, so we'll have to wait and see. But I'm on the optimistic side.

[SJackson1]

He his a fantastic defender and he proved that last season by going toe to toe with Howard when we played the Magic. He showed signs in the summer league that he's been working on moves in he paint and we need him toscore 10+ PPG