That's a good point, but if he's not healthy and there are concerns about him, he could easily slip to the second around and unguaranteed money. Oden is pretty fresh in everyone's minds, I believe. Who knows though.
I think it would have to be a major knee injury or worries that it could be a chronic problem. Otherwise, he would still be a lottery pick in this draft. However, I would not mind taking Shabazz #1 and Noel #13!